Bitcoin moves in four-year cycles, and the best time to buy hardware usually looks like the worst. An honest look at payback, halvings and timing.
Read this before you judge the number above. It is the part of the business almost nobody in mining hosting will say out loud, and it is the reason we put the calculator first instead of hiding it.
Bitcoin has moved in roughly four-year cycles for its entire existence, anchored to the halving that cuts the block reward in half. That has a direct and uncomfortable consequence for anyone buying mining hardware.
When the price is high, the calculator prints a beautiful payback, hardware is expensive, everybody wants machines and the queue is long. When the price is low, the same calculator prints four years or worse, hardware is cheap, and the phone stops ringing.
History has generally been unkind to the first group and generous to the second. Your payback is not a property of the machine. It is a function of a price that has repeatedly doubled and halved. A payback that looks bad today gets rewritten by a single upcycle. A payback that looks perfect today usually means you paid a premium at the top — for hardware and for the queue.
Send us the model and quantity you are considering. We verify today's price in China, calculate your electricity tier and come back with a written offer — no obligation, no pressure.
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